Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • County Ground
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.38) 1.37 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 22.5% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Colchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 3.9% 5.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.3% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownColchester
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack73%100%
Defense27%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Colchester
HATHAT
Played57127613
Wins80%57%67%29%33%31%
Draws0%0%0%43%33%38%
Loses20%43%33%29%33%31%

Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWL • Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWW

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Colchester
HATHAT
GF total10122213821
GF avg2.01.71.81.91.31.6
GA total6111710818
GA avg1.21.61.41.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownColchester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%85%92%
1.567%42%38%31%
2.533%17%15%8%
3.50%8%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownColchester
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownColchester
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownColchester
Wins41
Draws02
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-36-20-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-24-2
Goals For3362
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownColchester
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Colchester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Dafabet
Draw3.70 @ Dafabet
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 1.88 (league 1.38), Colchester = 1.37 (league 1.14)

Colchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 3.9% 5.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.3% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1