League Two — England
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.41) 1.45 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 22.6% 29.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Colchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 3.7% 5.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.8% 9.9% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownColchester
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack54%100%
Defense31%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Colchester
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%57%62%29%33%31%
Draws17%0%8%43%33%38%
Loses17%43%31%29%33%31%

Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLD • Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWW

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Colchester
HATHAT
GF total12122413821
GF avg2.01.71.81.91.31.6
GA total8111910818
GA avg1.31.61.51.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownColchester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%85%92%
1.569%46%38%31%
2.531%15%15%8%
3.50%8%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownColchester
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownColchester
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownColchester
Wins41
Draws02
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-36-20-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-24-2
Goals For3362
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownColchester
Form41%59%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Colchester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Superbet
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 1.85 (league 1.41), Colchester = 1.45 (league 1.17)

Colchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 3.7% 5.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.8% 9.9% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 29.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1