League Two — England
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Prenton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.39) 1.30 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 21.8% 24.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tranmere 0 3.8% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.7% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTranmereChesterfield
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack64%79%
Defense29%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tranmere Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins17%33%25%57%33%46%
Draws50%33%42%43%17%31%
Loses33%33%33%0%50%23%

Form: Tranmere: DWDWLLDLDDLW • Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWD

League goals

Metric Tranmere Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total7132014923
GF avg1.22.21.72.01.51.8
GA total6121861420
GA avg1.02.01.50.92.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTranmereChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%92%77%
1.542%42%62%31%
2.525%25%15%15%
3.517%8%8%15%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTranmereChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricTranmereChesterfield
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTranmereChesterfield
Wins13
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-2—6-2
Goals For4442
Goals Against2426

Model comparison

MetricTranmereChesterfield
Form38%62%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Tranmere or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Dafabet
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away2.55 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tranmere = 1.98 (league 1.39), Chesterfield = 1.30 (league 1.15)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tranmere 0 3.8% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.7% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 24.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1