League Two — England
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Exercise Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.40) 1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 25.1% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harrogate Town 0 6.8% 7.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHarrogate TownNewport County
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack50%21%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Harrogate Town Newport County
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%0%33%15%
Draws17%14%15%14%17%15%
Loses50%57%54%86%50%69%

Form: Harrogate Town: WDDWLLLLWWLLL • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWL

League goals

Metric Harrogate Town Newport County
HATHAT
GF total87155611
GF avg1.31.01.20.71.00.8
GA total81220131023
GA avg1.31.71.51.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHarrogate TownNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%69%92%
1.523%54%15%54%
2.58%31%0%23%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHarrogate TownNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricHarrogate TownNewport County
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHarrogate TownNewport County
Wins21
Draws21
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-1—1-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-34-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricHarrogate TownNewport County
Form67%33%
Att70%30%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h60%40%
Goals41%59%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Harrogate Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away3.85 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Harrogate Town = 1.57 (league 1.40), Newport County = 1.11 (league 1.17)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harrogate Town 0 6.8% 7.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1