League Two — England
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.38) 0.47 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 18.2% 7.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.0%
1 - 0
16.8%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 8.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldAccrington ST
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack91%55%
Defense18%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Accrington ST
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%29%43%29%14%21%
Draws43%29%36%43%14%29%
Loses0%43%21%29%71%50%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDD • Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Accrington ST
HATHAT
GF total1410249413
GF avg2.01.41.71.30.60.9
GA total6152171017
GA avg0.92.11.51.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldAccrington ST
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%79%64%79%
1.557%29%14%36%
2.514%14%7%7%
3.57%14%7%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldAccrington ST
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score011145

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldAccrington ST
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldAccrington ST
Wins32
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-01-2
Biggest losses—6-21-32-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against2632

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldAccrington ST
Form67%33%
Att63%38%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h40%60%
Goals31%69%
Total54.0%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away4.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 2.02 (league 1.38), Accrington ST = 0.47 (league 1.16)

Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 8.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.0% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 7.4%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1