League Two — England
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • The Wham Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.39) 0.95 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 22.2% 18.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 5.9% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.1% 10.6% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STBristol Rovers
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack69%15%
Defense46%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%38%29%33%
Draws43%25%33%13%14%13%
Loses29%63%47%50%57%53%

Form: Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLDD • Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
GF total97166814
GF avg1.30.91.10.81.10.9
GA total71320121426
GA avg1.01.61.31.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STBristol Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%80%67%80%
1.520%40%20%47%
2.513%13%7%27%
3.57%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STBristol Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score145415

Penalties

MetricAccrington STBristol Rovers
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAccrington STBristol Rovers
Wins24
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-12-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-44-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STBristol Rovers
Form100%0%
Att82%18%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total70.8%29.2%

Advice: Double chance : Accrington ST or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ William Hill
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 1.88 (league 1.39), Bristol Rovers = 0.95 (league 1.15)

Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 5.9% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.1% 10.6% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 18.7%

vtt 12 , vtd1