League Two — England
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Blundell Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.15 (league 1.40) 1.09 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.7% 12.7% 9.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
7.8%
3 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grimsby 0 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrimsbyChesterfield
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack62%69%
Defense46%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grimsby Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%50%29%40%
Draws14%38%27%50%29%40%
Loses29%25%27%0%43%20%

Form: Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLD • Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDD

League goals

Metric Grimsby Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total151429171027
GF avg2.11.81.92.11.41.8
GA total6142091524
GA avg0.91.81.31.12.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrimsbyChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%93%80%
1.553%40%60%33%
2.527%20%20%20%
3.57%0%7%13%
4.57%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrimsbyChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricGrimsbyChesterfield
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGrimsbyChesterfield
Wins23
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-24-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-0—6-2
Goals For7342
Goals Against2336

Model comparison

MetricGrimsbyChesterfield
Form54%46%
Att47%53%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals50%50%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Grimsby or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grimsby = 3.15 (league 1.40), Chesterfield = 1.09 (league 1.15)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grimsby 0 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1