League Two — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • EV Charger Points Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.40) 1.24 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 27.4% 37.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 8.7% 10.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCheltenhamBristol Rovers
Played55
Form47%0%
Attack58%17%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cheltenham Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%13%25%38%25%31%
Draws0%25%13%13%13%13%
Loses63%63%63%50%63%56%

Form: Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLLWDWWLL • Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Cheltenham Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
GF total67136915
GF avg0.80.90.80.81.10.9
GA total102030121729
GA avg1.32.51.91.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCheltenhamBristol Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%69%81%
1.519%50%19%50%
2.50%25%6%31%
3.50%13%0%19%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCheltenhamBristol Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score336415

Penalties

MetricCheltenhamBristol Rovers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCheltenhamBristol Rovers
Wins24
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-12-3
Biggest losses0-37-10-44-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against3744

Model comparison

MetricCheltenhamBristol Rovers
Form100%0%
Att78%22%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Cheltenham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away2.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cheltenham = 1.20 (league 1.40), Bristol Rovers = 1.24 (league 1.15)

Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 8.7% 10.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 37.1%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1