League Two — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Alexandra Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.40) 1.56 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.0% 21.4% 29.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.7% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCreweChesterfield
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack58%67%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crewe Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%38%50%50%38%44%
Draws0%25%13%50%25%38%
Loses38%38%38%0%38%19%

Form: Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWLLWWD • Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDW

League goals

Metric Crewe Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total121123171128
GF avg1.51.41.42.11.41.8
GA total1091991524
GA avg1.31.11.21.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCreweChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%94%75%
1.544%25%56%31%
2.525%13%19%19%
3.56%0%6%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCreweChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricCreweChesterfield
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCreweChesterfield
Wins43
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-44-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-1—6-2
Goals For3442
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricCreweChesterfield
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h80%20%
Goals68%32%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Crewe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Unibet
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away3.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crewe = 2.03 (league 1.40), Chesterfield = 1.56 (league 1.17)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.7% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 29.3%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1