League Two — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Meadow Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.40) 1.01 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 24.6% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Colchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 7.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.6% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountyColchester
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack67%58%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Colchester
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%38%50%25%38%31%
Draws25%25%25%38%38%38%
Loses13%38%25%38%25%31%

Form: Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWD • Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Notts County Colchester
HATHAT
GF total181028131023
GF avg2.31.31.81.61.31.4
GA total7101712820
GA avg0.91.31.11.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountyColchester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%75%75%81%
1.550%31%38%31%
2.519%0%13%6%
3.513%0%6%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountyColchester
HATHAT
Clean sheets314033
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricNotts CountyColchester
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNotts CountyColchester
Wins23
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-26-20-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-24-2
Goals For4262
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountyColchester
Form52%48%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Notts County or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 1.64 (league 1.40), Colchester = 1.01 (league 1.15)

Colchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 7.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.6% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1