League Two — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.39) 1.72 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.7% 19.7% 27.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 1.7% 3.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.1% 7.0% 6.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.7% 8.1% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.2% 3.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownGrimsby
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack42%50%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Grimsby
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%50%56%50%38%44%
Draws25%13%19%13%38%25%
Loses13%38%25%38%25%31%

Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWD • Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLDL

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Grimsby
HATHAT
GF total141327151429
GF avg1.81.61.71.91.81.8
GA total9122171421
GA avg1.11.51.30.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownGrimsby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%75%81%75%
1.563%38%50%38%
2.525%13%25%19%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownGrimsby
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownGrimsby
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownGrimsby
Wins42
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-37-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-23-0
Goals For3373
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownGrimsby
Form60%40%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h80%20%
Goals78%22%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Swindon Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ SBO
Under 2.52.15 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 2.34 (league 1.39), Grimsby = 1.72 (league 1.15)

Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 1.7% 3.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.1% 7.0% 6.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.7% 8.1% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.2% 3.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.7% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 27.6%

vtt 7 , vtd1