League Two — England
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Boundary Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.40) 0.84 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 34.8% 33.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oldham 0 19.4% 16.3% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOldhamNewport County
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack25%50%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oldham Newport County
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%38%25%0%38%19%
Draws63%38%50%13%13%13%
Loses25%25%25%88%50%69%

Form: Oldham: DDLDDLWWWDLDLDWD • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Oldham Newport County
HATHAT
GF total67137916
GF avg0.80.90.80.91.11.0
GA total7512171128
GA avg0.90.60.82.11.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOldhamNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%69%88%
1.513%19%25%50%
2.56%6%6%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOldhamNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets358022
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricOldhamNewport County
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricOldhamNewport County
Wins31
Draws21
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-3—0-3
Biggest losses1-23-12-44-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricOldhamNewport County
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Oldham or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away4.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Oldham = 0.80 (league 1.40), Newport County = 0.84 (league 1.18)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oldham 0 19.4% 16.3% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 33.8%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1