League Two — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Memorial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.40) 1.67 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.3% 24.0% 58.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 2
12.5%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol Rovers 0 9.0% 15.0% 12.5% 7.0% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.7% 11.1% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.5% 4.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol RoversNotts County
Played55
Form0%53%
Attack11%44%
Defense28%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol Rovers Notts County
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%22%29%56%38%47%
Draws13%11%12%22%25%24%
Loses50%67%59%22%38%29%

Form: Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLLLL • Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDL

League goals

Metric Bristol Rovers Notts County
HATHAT
GF total6915191029
GF avg0.81.00.92.11.31.7
GA total121830101020
GA avg1.52.01.81.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol RoversNotts County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%82%94%76%
1.518%47%47%35%
2.56%29%18%6%
3.50%18%12%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol RoversNotts County
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score426011

Penalties

MetricBristol RoversNotts County
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBristol RoversNotts County
Wins42
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-44-01-32-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricBristol RoversNotts County
Form0%100%
Att20%80%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Notts County

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol Rovers = 0.74 (league 1.40), Notts County = 1.67 (league 1.17)

Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol Rovers 0 9.0% 15.0% 12.5% 7.0% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.7% 11.1% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.5% 4.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 58.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1