League Two — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.40) 1.53 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 20.1% 25.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.2% 7.9% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldSwindon Town
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%39%
Defense56%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%33%41%56%50%53%
Draws50%33%41%33%13%24%
Loses0%33%18%11%38%24%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWD • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDD

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total171431161329
GF avg2.11.61.81.81.61.7
GA total91827111223
GA avg1.12.01.61.21.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldSwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%76%82%76%
1.559%35%65%41%
2.524%24%24%12%
3.56%12%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldSwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldSwindon Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldSwindon Town
Wins34
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-10-3
Biggest losses—6-20-24-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3624

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldSwindon Town
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ SBO
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 2.25 (league 1.40), Swindon Town = 1.53 (league 1.15)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.2% 7.9% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1