League Two — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 12:30 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.40) 0.95 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 22.5% 18.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 6.1% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 10.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack56%44%
Defense61%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%44%47%56%25%41%
Draws13%44%29%33%25%29%
Loses38%11%24%11%50%29%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWD • Fleetwood Town: WWDLDWLDLWLWDWLDW

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
GF total16173318826
GF avg2.01.91.92.01.01.5
GA total91019141024
GA avg1.11.11.11.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%71%88%88%
1.565%35%41%41%
2.524%6%18%6%
3.512%0%6%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets325022
Failed to score202022

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
Wins42
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-20-2
Biggest losses2-32-11-42-0
Goals For5442
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsFleetwood Town
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h7%93%
Goals33%67%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fleetwood Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betfair
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away4.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ SBO
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 1.85 (league 1.40), Fleetwood Town = 0.95 (league 1.16)

Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 6.1% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 10.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 18.9%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1