League Two — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.36) 1.11 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.4% 32.1% 46.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 0
17.2%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 17.2% 19.1% 10.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 12.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyGillingham
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack33%28%
Defense56%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Gillingham
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%11%24%44%38%41%
Draws25%22%24%33%38%35%
Loses38%67%53%22%25%24%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWL • Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLWDD

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Gillingham
HATHAT
GF total6915121123
GF avg0.81.00.91.31.41.4
GA total721288917
GA avg0.92.31.60.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyGillingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%88%71%
1.518%59%29%24%
2.56%29%12%6%
3.50%12%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyGillingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets516325
Failed to score336112

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyGillingham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyGillingham
Wins23
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-23-2
Goals For2343
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyGillingham
Form58%42%
Att55%45%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gillingham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 0.65 (league 1.36), Gillingham = 1.11 (league 1.14)

Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 17.2% 19.1% 10.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 12.4% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 46.4%

vtt 8 , vtd1