League Two — England
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.39) 1.82 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 21.8% 64.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 2
14.0%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Barrow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 8.5% 15.4% 14.0% 8.5% 3.9% 1.4%
1 5.5% 10.0% 9.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyBarrow
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack28%39%
Defense44%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Barrow
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins0%33%18%22%38%29%
Draws13%11%12%33%13%24%
Loses88%56%71%44%50%47%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLL • Barrow: LLWLWLLLWWDDWDDLL

League goals

Metric Newport County Barrow
HATHAT
GF total79168816
GF avg0.91.00.90.91.00.9
GA total17143113821
GA avg2.11.61.81.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyBarrow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%88%59%76%
1.524%53%35%41%
2.56%29%0%6%
3.50%12%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyBarrow
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyBarrow
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyBarrow
Wins12
Draws12
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-10-2
Biggest losses2-44-11-32-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyBarrow
Form38%63%
Att42%58%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total41.0%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barrow

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Betfair
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 0.65 (league 1.39), Barrow = 1.82 (league 1.15)

Barrow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 8.5% 15.4% 14.0% 8.5% 3.9% 1.4%
1 5.5% 10.0% 9.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 64.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1