League Two — England
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • Meadow Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.36) 1.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 22.1% 40.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 2.9% 5.3% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.9% 9.1% 8.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.2% 7.7% 7.1% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.4% 4.4% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack33%43%
Defense76%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%44%50%56%44%50%
Draws22%22%22%11%44%28%
Loses22%33%28%33%11%22%

Form: Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLW • Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDW

League goals

Metric Notts County Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
GF total191130181735
GF avg2.11.21.72.01.91.9
GA total101020101020
GA avg1.11.11.11.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%72%89%72%
1.544%33%67%33%
2.517%6%22%6%
3.511%0%11%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricNotts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNotts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
Wins24
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-25-00-4
Biggest losses1-32-12-32-1
Goals For4254
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Notts County or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 1.70 (league 1.36), Milton Keynes Dons = 1.84 (league 1.14)

Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 2.9% 5.3% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.9% 9.1% 8.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.2% 7.7% 7.1% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.4% 4.4% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 40.6%

vtt 13 , vtd1