League Two — England
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.40) 1.70 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 23.8% 46.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 5.1% 8.6% 7.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.5% 11.1% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyGrimsby
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack38%33%
Defense48%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Grimsby
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%11%22%44%33%39%
Draws33%22%28%11%44%28%
Loses33%67%50%44%22%33%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLD • Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Grimsby
HATHAT
GF total9918161632
GF avg1.01.01.01.81.81.8
GA total10213191625
GA avg1.12.31.71.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyGrimsby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%78%
1.522%61%50%44%
2.511%33%22%17%
3.50%11%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyGrimsby
HATHAT
Clean sheets516224
Failed to score336213

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyGrimsby
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyGrimsby
Wins22
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-37-10-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-23-0
Goals For3373
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyGrimsby
Form71%29%
Att53%47%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Shrewsbury or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Betfair
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 1.28 (league 1.40), Grimsby = 1.70 (league 1.17)

Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 5.1% 8.6% 7.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.5% 11.1% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1