League Two — England
Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.07 (league 1.41) 0.82 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 11.5% 6.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.8%
2 - 0
9.6%
3 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cheltenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.6% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.8% 8.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownCheltenham
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack33%24%
Defense76%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Cheltenham
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%56%56%44%11%28%
Draws33%11%22%0%22%11%
Loses11%33%22%56%67%61%

Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDW • Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLLWDWWLLWL

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Cheltenham
HATHAT
GF total1615317714
GF avg1.81.71.70.80.80.8
GA total111324102232
GA avg1.21.41.31.12.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownCheltenham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%78%61%72%
1.567%39%17%50%
2.522%11%0%22%
3.50%6%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownCheltenham
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score213347

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownCheltenham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownCheltenham
Wins42
Draws21
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-37-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2437

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownCheltenham
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Winner : Swindon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.60 @ Unibet
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 3.07 (league 1.41), Cheltenham = 0.82 (league 1.17)

Cheltenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.6% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.8% 8.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 7 , Vtod5