League Two — England
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 19:45 • Holker Street
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.40) 1.11 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 27.8% 32.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cheltenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barrow 0 9.4% 10.4% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.1% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarrowCheltenham
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack38%38%
Defense15%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barrow Cheltenham
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%30%25%40%20%30%
Draws30%30%30%10%20%15%
Loses50%40%45%50%60%55%

Form: Barrow: LLWLWLLLWWDDWDDLLDLD • Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLLWDWWLLWLWD

League goals

Metric Barrow Cheltenham
HATHAT
GF total812208816
GF avg0.81.21.00.80.80.8
GA total161228112233
GA avg1.61.21.41.12.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarrowCheltenham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%65%70%
1.540%50%15%45%
2.50%10%0%20%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarrowCheltenham
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score538347

Penalties

MetricBarrowCheltenham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBarrowCheltenham
Wins22
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-37-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against3237

Model comparison

MetricBarrowCheltenham
Form22%78%
Att50%50%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total47.5%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Barrow or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away3.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barrow = 1.26 (league 1.40), Cheltenham = 1.11 (league 1.15)

Cheltenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barrow 0 9.4% 10.4% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.1% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1