League Two — England
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 19:45 • Alexandra Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.40) 1.16 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 16.3% 14.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 2.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.8% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.8% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCreweBristol Rovers
Played55
Form40%0%
Attack77%8%
Defense38%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crewe Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%40%45%30%20%25%
Draws20%20%20%10%10%10%
Loses30%40%35%60%70%65%

Form: Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWLLWWDDLDW • Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Crewe Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
GF total1716336915
GF avg1.71.61.70.60.90.8
GA total151227162238
GA avg1.51.21.41.62.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCreweBristol Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%85%55%85%
1.550%35%15%50%
2.530%15%5%35%
3.510%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCreweBristol Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score235639

Penalties

MetricCreweBristol Rovers
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCreweBristol Rovers
Wins44
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-42-12-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-44-0
Goals For3423
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricCreweBristol Rovers
Form100%0%
Att91%9%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total73.2%26.8%

Advice: Winner : Crewe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 188Bet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Crewe = 2.66 (league 1.40), Bristol Rovers = 1.16 (league 1.17)

Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 2.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.8% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.8% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 14.1%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1