League Two — England
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.40) 1.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 25.3% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.4% 12.0% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyChesterfield
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack64%82%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins30%10%20%50%30%40%
Draws40%30%35%40%40%40%
Loses30%60%45%10%30%20%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLDDD • Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDW

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total101020211536
GF avg1.01.01.02.11.51.8
GA total112233121931
GA avg1.12.21.71.21.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%95%80%
1.520%55%55%35%
2.510%30%25%20%
3.50%10%5%10%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets516224
Failed to score336011

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyChesterfield
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyChesterfield
Wins23
Draws13
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-26-2
Goals For3343
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyChesterfield
Form43%57%
Att44%56%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h36%64%
Goals31%69%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chesterfield

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Betano
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away2.45 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 1.36 (league 1.40), Chesterfield = 1.43 (league 1.15)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.4% 12.0% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 38.7%

Vtot 10 , Vtod2