League Two — England
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.40) 1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 16.0% 12.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.8%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownCrawley Town
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack73%82%
Defense55%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Crawley Town
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%60%55%30%10%20%
Draws30%10%20%40%20%30%
Loses20%30%25%30%70%50%

Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLW • Crawley Town: LLLDLDWWLLLDLWWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Crawley Town
HATHAT
GF total161834151025
GF avg1.61.81.71.51.01.3
GA total121325122335
GA avg1.21.31.31.22.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownCrawley Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%75%75%85%
1.565%35%35%55%
2.525%10%10%25%
3.50%5%5%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownCrawley Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score314145

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownCrawley Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownCrawley Town
Wins42
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-00-1
Biggest losses0-24-00-24-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownCrawley Town
Form73%27%
Att47%53%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h40%60%
Goals52%48%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Swindon Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 188Bet
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away4.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 2.63 (league 1.40), Crawley Town = 1.04 (league 1.15)

Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1