League Two — England
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Colchester Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.39) 1.14 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 23.7% 25.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 5.6% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.2% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterNewport County
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack91%36%
Defense55%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Newport County
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins30%40%35%0%30%15%
Draws40%30%35%20%20%20%
Loses30%30%30%80%50%65%

Form: Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWWDLWWWDL • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Colchester Newport County
HATHAT
GF total15163191120
GF avg1.51.61.60.91.11.0
GA total121325211637
GA avg1.21.31.32.11.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%65%90%
1.545%30%30%60%
2.520%10%5%25%
3.55%10%0%10%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets235022
Failed to score325437

Penalties

MetricColchesterNewport County
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricColchesterNewport County
Wins31
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-3—0-3
Biggest losses0-24-22-44-1
Goals For6323
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricColchesterNewport County
Form83%17%
Att71%29%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total68.0%32.2%

Advice: Double chance : Colchester or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw4.36 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ SBO
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 1.73 (league 1.39), Newport County = 1.14 (league 1.15)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 5.6% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.2% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 25.0%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1