League Two — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • The Wham Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.40) 0.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 30.3% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Barrow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 13.1% 12.1% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STBarrow
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack27%33%
Defense73%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Barrow
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%18%29%18%30%24%
Draws30%27%29%27%30%29%
Loses30%55%43%55%40%48%

Form: Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLDDWDWWLL • Barrow: LLWLWLLLWWDDWDDLLDLDL

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Barrow
HATHAT
GF total13102391221
GF avg1.30.91.10.81.21.0
GA total91625181230
GA avg0.91.51.21.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STBarrow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%76%62%81%
1.524%33%38%52%
2.514%10%0%10%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STBarrow
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score257538

Penalties

MetricAccrington STBarrow
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAccrington STBarrow
Wins22
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-10-2
Biggest losses1-32-00-32-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STBarrow
Form78%22%
Att44%56%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Accrington ST or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betfair
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 1.11 (league 1.40), Barrow = 0.92 (league 1.17)

Barrow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 13.1% 12.1% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.5% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 30.0%

Vtot 14 , Vtod6