League Two — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • EV Charger Points Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.38) 0.95 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 28.5% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 10.8% 10.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.1% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCheltenhamShrewsbury
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack33%40%
Defense73%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cheltenham Shrewsbury
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%27%33%27%10%19%
Draws10%18%14%36%30%33%
Loses50%55%52%36%60%48%

Form: Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLLWDWWLLWLWDW • Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLDDDL

League goals

Metric Cheltenham Shrewsbury
HATHAT
GF total81018101020
GF avg0.80.90.90.91.01.0
GA total112334122234
GA avg1.12.11.61.12.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCheltenhamShrewsbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%71%67%71%
1.519%43%19%52%
2.50%19%10%29%
3.50%10%0%10%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCheltenhamShrewsbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets426516
Failed to score347437

Penalties

MetricCheltenhamShrewsbury
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCheltenhamShrewsbury
Wins22
Draws13
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-37-11-34-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against3734

Model comparison

MetricCheltenhamShrewsbury
Form77%23%
Att45%55%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Cheltenham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cheltenham = 1.27 (league 1.38), Shrewsbury = 0.95 (league 1.16)

Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 10.8% 10.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.1% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 30 , Vtod1