League Two — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Peninsula Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.40) 1.37 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 21.5% 25.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Harrogate Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salford City 0 3.3% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.8% 9.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.4% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalford CityHarrogate Town
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack80%13%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salford City Harrogate Town
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins60%45%52%18%20%19%
Draws20%9%14%9%40%24%
Loses20%45%33%73%40%57%

Form: Salford City: LWWWLDWWWLLLWWDLLWDWW • Harrogate Town: WDDWLLLLWWLLLLLDLDLDL

League goals

Metric Salford City Harrogate Town
HATHAT
GF total19133281018
GF avg1.91.21.50.71.00.9
GA total161430201535
GA avg1.61.31.41.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalford CityHarrogate Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%67%81%
1.543%43%14%52%
2.529%14%5%29%
3.510%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalford CityHarrogate Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score246617

Penalties

MetricSalford CityHarrogate Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSalford CityHarrogate Town
Wins32
Draws12
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-1
Biggest losses1-32-00-43-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricSalford CityHarrogate Town
Form83%17%
Att86%14%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Winner : Salford City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Betano
Draw5.03 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salford City = 2.03 (league 1.40), Harrogate Town = 1.37 (league 1.17)

Harrogate Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salford City 0 3.3% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.8% 9.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.4% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 25.5%

Vtot 12 , Vtod2