League Two — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.39) 2.18 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.6% 17.7% 70.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 1
12.8%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Barnet
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 5.9% 12.8% 14.0% 10.2% 5.6% 2.4%
1 3.8% 8.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.6% 1.6%
2 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyBarnet
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack33%53%
Defense13%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Barnet
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins0%27%14%27%40%33%
Draws20%18%19%27%40%33%
Loses80%55%67%45%20%33%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLL • Barnet: LLLWWDLWWDWWLDDDDDWLL

League goals

Metric Newport County Barnet
HATHAT
GF total91221161228
GF avg0.91.11.01.51.21.3
GA total212041151025
GA avg2.11.82.01.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyBarnet
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%90%81%67%
1.529%62%38%38%
2.55%29%10%14%
3.50%14%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyBarnet
HATHAT
Clean sheets022347
Failed to score437224

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyBarnet
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyBarnet
Wins12
Draws25
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-34-00-2
Biggest losses2-44-11-33-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyBarnet
Form29%71%
Att38%62%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barnet

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away1.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 0.65 (league 1.39), Barnet = 2.18 (league 1.15)

Barnet
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 5.9% 12.8% 14.0% 10.2% 5.6% 2.4%
1 3.8% 8.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.6% 1.6%
2 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 70.3%

vtt 26 , vtd1