League Two — England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:30 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.36) 2.51 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.4% 15.0% 72.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.6%
0 - 3
10.6%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 4.0% 10.1% 12.6% 10.6% 6.6% 3.3%
1 2.8% 7.1% 8.9% 7.5% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyCrewe
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Crewe
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins0%27%14%45%36%41%
Draws27%18%23%27%18%23%
Loses73%55%64%27%45%36%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLD • Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWLLWWDDLDWDL

League goals

Metric Newport County Crewe
HATHAT
GF total91221181634
GF avg0.81.11.01.61.51.5
GA total212041161329
GA avg1.91.81.91.51.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyCrewe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%73%86%
1.527%59%45%32%
2.55%27%27%14%
3.50%14%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyCrewe
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score538246

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyCrewe
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyCrewe
Wins14
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-33-11-4
Biggest losses2-44-10-33-1
Goals For2334
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyCrewe
Form38%63%
Att38%62%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total43.0%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crewe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Betano
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 0.71 (league 1.36), Crewe = 2.51 (league 1.14)

Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 4.0% 10.1% 12.6% 10.6% 6.6% 3.3%
1 2.8% 7.1% 8.9% 7.5% 4.7% 2.3%
2 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 72.3%

vtt 29 , vtd1