League Two — England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • EV Charger Points Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.35) 1.54 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 25.6% 50.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 8.2% 12.6% 9.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.1% 9.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.8% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCheltenhamSwindon Town
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cheltenham Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%27%36%55%55%55%
Draws9%18%14%27%9%18%
Loses45%55%50%18%36%27%

Form: Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLLWDWWLLWLWDWW • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWL

League goals

Metric Cheltenham Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total111021171835
GF avg1.00.91.01.51.61.6
GA total122335121426
GA avg1.12.11.61.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCheltenhamSwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%73%77%73%
1.523%41%59%32%
2.55%18%23%9%
3.50%9%0%5%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCheltenhamSwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score347325

Penalties

MetricCheltenhamSwindon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCheltenhamSwindon Town
Wins24
Draws12
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-37-10-24-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3724

Model comparison

MetricCheltenhamSwindon Town
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total49.8%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Swindon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Betfair
Draw3.45 @ 10Bet
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cheltenham = 0.96 (league 1.35), Swindon Town = 1.54 (league 1.14)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 8.2% 12.6% 9.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.1% 9.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.8% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 50.3%

vtt 21 , vtd1