League Two — England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.39) 1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 26.6% 27.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 8.5% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.6% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNotts County
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Notts County
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%45%50%55%45%50%
Draws18%36%27%27%18%23%
Loses27%18%23%18%36%27%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDWW • Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWDL

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Notts County
HATHAT
GF total202343221335
GF avg1.82.12.02.01.21.6
GA total111324121224
GA avg1.01.21.11.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsNotts County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%68%86%68%
1.564%32%45%36%
2.523%9%18%5%
3.514%0%9%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNotts County
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNotts County
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNotts County
Wins43
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-00-2
Biggest losses2-33-21-32-0
Goals For5442
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsNotts County
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total44.0%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ 188Bet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away4.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 1.43 (league 1.39), Notts County = 1.04 (league 1.15)

Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 8.5% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.6% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 27.4%

vtt 25 , vtd1