League Two — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Colchester Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.35) 2.22 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 20.3% 51.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.6% 8.0% 8.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.1% 6.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterMilton Keynes Dons
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack90%90%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%33%35%50%45%48%
Draws36%42%39%25%36%30%
Loses27%25%26%25%18%22%

Form: Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWWDLWWWDLWDD • Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDWWD

League goals

Metric Colchester Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
GF total191837212344
GF avg1.71.51.61.82.11.9
GA total131528121325
GA avg1.21.31.21.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterMilton Keynes Dons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%91%70%
1.543%26%61%30%
2.522%9%22%9%
3.59%9%13%0%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterMilton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score325202

Penalties

MetricColchesterMilton Keynes Dons
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricColchesterMilton Keynes Dons
Wins34
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-35-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-22-33-2
Goals For6354
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricColchesterMilton Keynes Dons
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Colchester or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 1.51 (league 1.35), Milton Keynes Dons = 2.22 (league 1.13)

Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.6% 8.0% 8.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.1% 6.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 51.2%

vtt 8 , vtd1