League Two — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Alexandra Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.36) 1.19 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.5% 17.8% 16.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
7.9%
3 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cheltenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 2.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.4% 7.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.9% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 7.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCreweCheltenham
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack70%70%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crewe Cheltenham
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%33%39%42%27%35%
Draws27%17%22%8%18%13%
Loses27%50%39%50%55%52%

Form: Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWLLWWDDLDWDLL • Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLLWDWWLLWLWDWWL

League goals

Metric Crewe Cheltenham
HATHAT
GF total181634111021
GF avg1.61.31.50.90.90.9
GA total161531142337
GA avg1.51.31.31.22.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCreweCheltenham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%87%65%74%
1.543%35%22%43%
2.526%13%4%17%
3.59%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCreweCheltenham
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score257448

Penalties

MetricCreweCheltenham
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricCreweCheltenham
Wins42
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-43-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-37-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against3337

Model comparison

MetricCreweCheltenham
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cheltenham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crewe = 2.47 (league 1.36), Cheltenham = 1.19 (league 1.14)

Cheltenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 2.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.4% 7.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.9% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 7.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 16.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1