League Two — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Exercise Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.39) 2.96 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.8% 12.5% 71.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.6%
0 - 3
9.5%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tranmere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harrogate Town 0 2.2% 6.5% 9.6% 9.5% 7.0% 4.2%
1 1.9% 5.6% 8.2% 8.1% 6.0% 3.6%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 2.6% 1.5%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHarrogate TownTranmere
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack10%70%
Defense10%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Harrogate Town Tranmere
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%17%17%25%36%30%
Draws9%33%22%42%27%35%
Loses73%50%61%33%36%35%

Form: Harrogate Town: WDDWLLLLWWLLLLLDLDLDLLL • Tranmere: DWDWLLDLDDLWDDLWDWWLLWL

League goals

Metric Harrogate Town Tranmere
HATHAT
GF total81018162137
GF avg0.70.80.81.31.91.6
GA total201737181937
GA avg1.81.41.61.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHarrogate TownTranmere
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%83%91%78%
1.513%48%39%48%
2.54%26%22%26%
3.50%4%9%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHarrogate TownTranmere
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score639202

Penalties

MetricHarrogate TownTranmere
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHarrogate TownTranmere
Wins22
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-01-4
Biggest losses0-43-11-44-2
Goals For3244
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricHarrogate TownTranmere
Form14%86%
Att13%88%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total27.7%72.5%

Advice: Winner : Tranmere

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Harrogate Town = 0.86 (league 1.39), Tranmere = 2.96 (league 1.15)

Tranmere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harrogate Town 0 2.2% 6.5% 9.6% 9.5% 7.0% 4.2%
1 1.9% 5.6% 8.2% 8.1% 6.0% 3.6%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 2.6% 1.5%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.8% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 71.7%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1