League Two — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Meadow Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.36) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 18.7% 13.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.1% 8.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountyAccrington ST
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack60%50%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Accrington ST
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%42%48%50%18%35%
Draws27%25%26%25%27%26%
Loses18%33%26%25%55%39%

Form: Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWDLD • Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLDDWDWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Notts County Accrington ST
HATHAT
GF total221436161026
GF avg2.01.21.61.30.91.1
GA total121325101626
GA avg1.11.11.10.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountyAccrington ST
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%70%70%74%
1.543%35%26%30%
2.517%4%13%9%
3.59%0%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountyAccrington ST
HATHAT
Clean sheets437426
Failed to score123257

Penalties

MetricNotts CountyAccrington ST
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNotts CountyAccrington ST
Wins32
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-32-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountyAccrington ST
Form47%53%
Att55%45%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Notts County or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betfair
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 2.21 (league 1.36), Accrington ST = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.1% 8.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 13.4%

vtt 10 , vtd1