League Two — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • The Croud Meadow
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.40) 0.86 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 27.9% 23.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 11.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack40%7%
Defense40%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
Played111021101121
Wins27%10%19%30%18%24%
Draws36%30%33%10%18%14%
Loses36%60%48%60%64%62%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLDDDL • Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
GF total10102061016
GF avg0.91.01.00.60.90.8
GA total122234162339
GA avg1.12.21.61.62.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyBristol Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%71%57%86%
1.519%52%14%48%
2.510%29%5%33%
3.50%10%0%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets516213
Failed to score437639

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
Wins24
Draws31
Losses410

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-12-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-44-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
Form75%25%
Att86%14%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Shrewsbury or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 1.35 (league 1.40), Bristol Rovers = 0.86 (league 1.15)

Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 11.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 23.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1