League Two — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.39) 0.86 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 27.8% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 10.8% 9.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.7% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack30%30%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins27%8%17%25%18%22%
Draws36%25%30%8%18%13%
Loses36%67%52%67%64%65%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLDDDLLL • Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLLLLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
GF total10112181018
GF avg0.90.90.90.70.90.8
GA total122638212344
GA avg1.12.21.71.82.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyBristol Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%74%57%87%
1.517%52%17%52%
2.59%30%4%35%
3.50%9%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets516213
Failed to score4487310

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
Wins24
Draws31
Losses410

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-12-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-44-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyBristol Rovers
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Shrewsbury or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Bet365
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.88 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 1.36 (league 1.39), Bristol Rovers = 0.86 (league 1.15)

Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 10.8% 9.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.8% 12.7% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 23.6%

vtt 11 , vtd1