League Two — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • County Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.39) 1.34 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 25.6% 35.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.1%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 6.4% 8.6% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.1% 12.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwindon TownGillingham
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack60%50%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swindon Town Gillingham
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%58%57%33%27%30%
Draws27%8%17%50%45%48%
Loses18%33%26%17%27%22%

Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWLW • Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLWDDDDDLDD

League goals

Metric Swindon Town Gillingham
HATHAT
GF total172037161531
GF avg1.51.71.61.31.41.3
GA total121426121426
GA avg1.11.21.11.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwindon TownGillingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%70%87%74%
1.561%30%30%30%
2.522%9%13%9%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwindon TownGillingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets347336
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricSwindon TownGillingham
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricSwindon TownGillingham
Wins43
Draws25
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-23-2
Goals For3343
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricSwindon TownGillingham
Form69%31%
Att55%45%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h36%64%
Goals47%53%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Swindon Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 1.41 (league 1.39), Gillingham = 1.34 (league 1.15)

Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swindon Town 0 6.4% 8.6% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.1% 12.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 35.3%

vtt 8 , vtd1