League Two
— England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 •
County Ground
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.40)
1.34 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.2% | 25.7% | 35.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.1%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Gillingham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swindon Town | 0 | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Swindon Town | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Swindon Town | Gillingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 55% | 55% | 55% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
| Draws | 27% | 9% | 18% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Loses | 18% | 36% | 27% | 18% | 27% | 23% |
Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWL • Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLWDDDDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Swindon Town | Gillingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Swindon Town | Gillingham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 73% | 86% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 32% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 9% | 14% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Swindon Town | Gillingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Swindon Town | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 85.71% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 14.29% |
| Total | 2 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Swindon Town | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Swindon Town | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Swindon Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 1.39 (league 1.40), Gillingham = 1.34 (league 1.15)
| Gillingham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swindon Town | 0 | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 35.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1