League Two — England
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 12:00 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.39) 1.21 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 19.9% 20.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.2% 8.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsChesterfield
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack64%64%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%42%46%50%33%42%
Draws25%33%29%33%42%38%
Loses25%25%25%17%25%21%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDWWDL • Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWWLD

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total212344231740
GF avg1.81.91.81.91.41.7
GA total121426132033
GA avg1.01.21.11.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%71%92%75%
1.558%29%50%29%
2.521%8%21%17%
3.513%0%4%8%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets437336
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsChesterfield
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsChesterfield
Wins43
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-10-2
Biggest losses2-33-21-26-2
Goals For5443
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsChesterfield
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 2.21 (league 1.39), Chesterfield = 1.21 (league 1.15)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.2% 8.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 20.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1