League Two — England
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.36) 2.53 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 17.7% 60.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
7.7%
0 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tranmere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 2.2% 5.7% 7.2% 6.1% 3.9% 2.0%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack43%57%
Defense14%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Tranmere
HATHAT
Played161834171734
Wins13%22%18%24%29%26%
Draws25%17%21%29%18%24%
Loses63%61%62%47%53%50%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWLLWLLDLLWLD • Tranmere: DWDWLLDLDDLWDDLWDWWLLWLWLLLLLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Newport County Tranmere
HATHAT
GF total141832192746
GF avg0.91.00.91.11.61.4
GA total283260263359
GA avg1.81.81.81.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyTranmere
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%82%79%79%
1.529%56%35%53%
2.56%26%15%26%
3.50%12%6%12%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score7714527

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
Wins12
Draws22
Losses56

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-01-4
Biggest losses1-44-11-45-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
Form57%43%
Att43%57%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h7%93%
Goals31%69%
Total39.3%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tranmere

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away2.67 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Betfair
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 1.26 (league 1.36), Tranmere = 2.53 (league 1.14)

Tranmere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 2.2% 5.7% 7.2% 6.1% 3.9% 2.0%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 60.6%

vtt 7 , vtd1