League Two — England
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • Rodney Parade
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.38) 2.96 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.1% 13.6% 68.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tranmere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 1.8% 5.4% 8.0% 7.9% 5.9% 3.5%
1 1.9% 5.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.3% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack36%55%
Defense27%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Tranmere
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins8%25%17%25%42%33%
Draws25%17%21%42%25%33%
Loses67%58%63%33%33%33%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWL • Tranmere: DWDWLLDLDDLWDDLWDWWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Newport County Tranmere
HATHAT
GF total111324162339
GF avg0.91.11.01.31.91.6
GA total212243181937
GA avg1.81.81.81.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyTranmere
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%92%75%
1.529%58%42%46%
2.54%25%21%25%
3.50%13%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score538202

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
Wins12
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-01-4
Biggest losses2-44-11-44-2
Goals For2344
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyTranmere
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h7%93%
Goals31%69%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tranmere

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 1.04 (league 1.38), Tranmere = 2.96 (league 1.15)

Tranmere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 1.8% 5.4% 8.0% 7.9% 5.9% 3.5%
1 1.9% 5.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.3% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.1% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 68.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1