League Two — England
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.36) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 26.7% 31.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Colchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 8.0% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.7% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldColchester
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack86%100%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Colchester
HATHAT
Played161834171633
Wins44%33%38%47%31%39%
Draws44%39%41%24%38%30%
Loses13%28%21%29%31%30%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWWLDDDLWDWDWDL • Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWWDLWWWDLWDDWWWLLWLDWL

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Colchester
HATHAT
GF total272552282048
GF avg1.71.41.51.61.31.5
GA total162844171835
GA avg1.01.61.31.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldColchester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%74%73%76%
1.544%32%39%18%
2.518%12%18%6%
3.53%6%9%6%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldColchester
HATHAT
Clean sheets549448
Failed to score224549

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldColchester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldColchester
Wins33
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-26-21-3
Biggest losses1-26-20-24-2
Goals For4363
Goals Against3624

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldColchester
Form53%47%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h25%75%
Goals31%69%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Colchester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away3.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.38 (league 1.36), Colchester = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Colchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 8.0% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.7% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 31.0%

vtt 13 , vtd2