League Two — England
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • Priestfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.34) 2.34 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 18.8% 60.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 3.1% 7.1% 8.3% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.6% 7.5% 4.4% 2.0%
2 2.0% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack12%47%
Defense65%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gillingham Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Played171734181735
Wins35%29%32%56%47%51%
Draws41%29%35%28%35%31%
Loses24%41%32%17%18%17%

Form: Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLWDDDDDLDDLWWLLWLLLWD • Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDWWDLDWWWDWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Gillingham Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
GF total231942343367
GF avg1.41.11.21.91.91.9
GA total231942161935
GA avg1.41.11.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%89%66%
1.529%32%60%29%
2.515%12%23%6%
3.53%3%14%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Clean sheets3587512
Failed to score268314

Penalties

MetricGillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total87

Streaks

MetricGillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
Wins34
Draws51
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-35-00-4
Biggest losses1-42-02-33-2
Goals For4354
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricGillinghamMilton Keynes Dons
Form27%73%
Att20%80%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Milton Keynes Dons

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gillingham = 1.15 (league 1.34), Milton Keynes Dons = 2.34 (league 1.14)

Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 3.1% 7.1% 8.3% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.6% 7.5% 4.4% 2.0%
2 2.0% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 60.6%

vtt 13 , vtd1