League Two
— England
Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 20:00 •
County Ground
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.36)
0.97 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.7% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Newport County | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swindon Town | 0 | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Swindon Town | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 53% | 27% |
| Defense | 93% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Swindon Town | Newport County | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 58% | 58% | 58% | 8% | 25% | 17% |
| Draws | 25% | 8% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 67% | 58% | 63% |
Form: Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWLWW • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Swindon Town | Newport County | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 20 | 39 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Swindon Town | Newport County | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 67% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 29% | 29% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 8% | 4% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Swindon Town | Newport County | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Swindon Town | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Swindon Town | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Swindon Town | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 76.3% | 23.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Swindon Town or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Swindon Town = 2.12 (league 1.36), Newport County = 0.97 (league 1.14)
| Newport County | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Swindon Town | 0 | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 16.2%
vtt 4 , vtd1