League Two — England
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 • The Wham Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.39) 1.32 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 27.2% 40.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 8.7% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.5% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STMilton Keynes Dons
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack29%57%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Played121224131225
Wins50%25%38%46%42%44%
Draws25%25%25%31%33%32%
Loses25%50%38%23%25%24%

Form: Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLDDWDWWLLWWW • Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDWWDLD

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
GF total161127232346
GF avg1.30.91.11.81.91.8
GA total101626141428
GA avg0.81.31.11.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STMilton Keynes Dons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%88%72%
1.525%29%60%32%
2.513%8%20%8%
3.54%0%12%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STMilton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score257213

Penalties

MetricAccrington STMilton Keynes Dons
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAccrington STMilton Keynes Dons
Wins24
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-00-4
Biggest losses1-32-02-33-2
Goals For4354
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STMilton Keynes Dons
Form53%47%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Accrington ST or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.33 @ Pinnacle
Away2.27 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Betano
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 1.13 (league 1.39), Milton Keynes Dons = 1.32 (league 1.15)

Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 8.7% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.5% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 40.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1