League Two — England
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:30 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.35) 1.19 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 29.7% 42.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 12.5% 14.9% 8.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyAccrington ST
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack54%31%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Accrington ST
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins15%23%19%46%23%35%
Draws23%15%19%23%31%27%
Loses62%62%62%31%46%38%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWLLW • Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWLDDWDWWLLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Newport County Accrington ST
HATHAT
GF total131528161127
GF avg1.01.21.11.20.81.0
GA total222547121628
GA avg1.71.91.80.91.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyAccrington ST
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%65%69%
1.535%58%23%31%
2.54%27%12%8%
3.50%12%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyAccrington ST
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score538369

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyAccrington ST
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyAccrington ST
Wins13
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-00-2
Biggest losses2-44-11-32-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyAccrington ST
Form41%59%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h40%60%
Goals29%71%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Accrington ST

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away2.37 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 0.89 (league 1.35), Accrington ST = 1.19 (league 1.14)

Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 12.5% 14.9% 8.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 42.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1