League Two — England
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 • Colchester Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.36) 1.45 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 22.4% 29.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 3.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.7% 9.8% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterGrimsby
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack46%38%
Defense77%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.60 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Grimsby
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins46%38%42%46%38%42%
Draws31%38%35%15%38%27%
Loses23%23%23%38%23%31%

Form: Colchester: DDWLLDDLDLWWWDLWWWDLWDDWWW • Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLDLDLDLLDWWWW

League goals

Metric Colchester Grimsby
HATHAT
GF total221941182038
GF avg1.71.51.61.41.51.5
GA total141529111930
GA avg1.11.21.10.81.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterGrimsby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%73%77%65%
1.542%23%38%38%
2.519%8%15%12%
3.58%8%4%0%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterGrimsby
HATHAT
Clean sheets347549
Failed to score325426

Penalties

MetricColchesterGrimsby
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricColchesterGrimsby
Wins32
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-37-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-23-0
Goals For6373
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricColchesterGrimsby
Form46%54%
Att55%45%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total60.4%39.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Colchester or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away3.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.05 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 1.88 (league 1.36), Grimsby = 1.45 (league 1.14)

Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 3.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.7% 9.8% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 29.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1