League Two
— England
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 •
Stadium MK
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.39)
1.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.1%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bristol Rovers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Milton Keynes Dons | 0 | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 73% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 46% | 46% | 46% | 23% | 25% | 24% |
| Draws | 31% | 31% | 31% | 8% | 17% | 12% |
| Loses | 23% | 23% | 23% | 69% | 58% | 64% |
Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDWWDLDW • Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLLLLLLLDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 25 | 48 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 22 | 23 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 69% | 56% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 31% | 20% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 8% | 8% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 10 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 2.46 (league 1.39), Bristol Rovers = 1.05 (league 1.15)
| Bristol Rovers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Milton Keynes Dons | 0 | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.3% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 14.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1