League Two — England
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 1.36) 0.97 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 15.4% 11.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.1% 6.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.5% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsBristol Rovers
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack77%38%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
Played141327131326
Wins50%46%48%23%23%23%
Draws29%31%30%8%15%12%
Loses21%23%22%69%62%65%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDWWDLDWW • Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLLLLLLLDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Bristol Rovers
HATHAT
GF total28255381321
GF avg2.01.92.00.61.00.8
GA total151429222446
GA avg1.11.11.11.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsBristol Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%70%54%85%
1.563%30%19%46%
2.522%7%8%31%
3.515%0%0%15%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsBristol Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets448224
Failed to score2138412

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsBristol Rovers
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsBristol Rovers
Wins44
Draws11
Losses210

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-10-3
Biggest losses2-33-20-44-0
Goals For5423
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsBristol Rovers
Form73%27%
Att67%33%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total66.2%33.8%

Advice: Winner : Milton Keynes Dons

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ Dafabet
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 2.65 (league 1.36), Bristol Rovers = 0.97 (league 1.14)

Bristol Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.1% 6.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.5% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 11.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1