League Two — England
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 • Meadow Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.33) 1.39 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 24.1% 32.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 4.9% 6.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.0% 11.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountySwindon Town
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack31%54%
Defense62%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%46%50%54%54%54%
Draws23%23%23%23%8%15%
Loses23%31%27%23%38%31%

Form: Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWDLDLWW • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Notts County Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total231639212142
GF avg1.81.21.51.61.61.6
GA total131427151631
GA avg1.01.11.01.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountySwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%81%69%
1.542%31%62%35%
2.515%4%19%12%
3.58%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountySwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets538448
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricNotts CountySwindon Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNotts CountySwindon Town
Wins34
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-10-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-24-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountySwindon Town
Form54%46%
Att36%64%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total55.5%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Notts County or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away3.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 1.62 (league 1.33), Swindon Town = 1.39 (league 1.15)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 4.9% 6.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.0% 11.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 32.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1