League Two — England
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 • Peninsula Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.36) 1.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 21.6% 28.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salford City 0 3.1% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalford CityChesterfield
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack54%31%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salford City Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played131326131427
Wins62%54%58%46%29%37%
Draws23%8%15%38%43%41%
Loses15%38%27%15%29%22%

Form: Salford City: LWWWLDWWWLLLWWDLLWDWWWDWWW • Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWWLDDDL

League goals

Metric Salford City Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total211839232043
GF avg1.61.41.51.81.41.6
GA total161733132437
GA avg1.21.31.31.01.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalford CityChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%77%89%74%
1.542%38%48%33%
2.527%12%19%15%
3.58%0%4%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalford CityChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets516437
Failed to score347213

Penalties

MetricSalford CityChesterfield
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSalford CityChesterfield
Wins33
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-26-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against3236

Model comparison

MetricSalford CityChesterfield
Form81%19%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h7%93%
Goals8%92%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : Salford City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Dafabet
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Salford City = 2.00 (league 1.36), Chesterfield = 1.48 (league 1.14)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salford City 0 3.1% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 28.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1