League Two — England
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:01 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.36) 2.51 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.5% 16.9% 65.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 2.9% 7.3% 9.1% 7.6% 4.8% 2.4%
1 3.0% 7.5% 9.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyGrimsby
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack86%100%
Defense0%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Grimsby
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins14%21%18%43%43%43%
Draws21%14%18%21%36%29%
Loses64%64%64%36%21%29%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLDDLLDWLLWLL • Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLDLDLDLLDWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Newport County Grimsby
HATHAT
GF total141529202141
GF avg1.01.11.01.41.51.5
GA total262854131932
GA avg1.92.01.90.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyGrimsby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%86%79%64%
1.532%61%39%39%
2.54%32%14%11%
3.50%14%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyGrimsby
HATHAT
Clean sheets2245510
Failed to score549426

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyGrimsby
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyGrimsby
Wins15
Draws21
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-37-10-2
Biggest losses1-44-10-23-0
Goals For2373
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyGrimsby
Form19%81%
Att46%54%
Def13%87%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total25.3%74.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Grimsby

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away1.79 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ SBO
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 1.03 (league 1.36), Grimsby = 2.51 (league 1.14)

Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 2.9% 7.3% 9.1% 7.6% 4.8% 2.4%
1 3.0% 7.5% 9.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.5% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 65.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1