League Two — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Alexandra Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.36) 1.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 23.9% 35.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 4.6% 6.9% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.3% 10.9% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCreweGillingham
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack56%100%
Defense56%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crewe Gillingham
HATHAT
Played151631151429
Wins53%31%42%40%29%34%
Draws27%25%26%40%36%38%
Loses20%44%32%20%36%28%

Form: Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWLLWWDDLDWDLLWDWLDWDW • Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLWDDDDDLDDLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Crewe Gillingham
HATHAT
GF total272047221840
GF avg1.81.31.51.51.31.4
GA total191938191736
GA avg1.31.21.21.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCreweGillingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%84%83%76%
1.542%29%34%34%
2.526%10%17%10%
3.510%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCreweGillingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets325347
Failed to score268145

Penalties

MetricCreweGillingham
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total38

Streaks

MetricCreweGillingham
Wins43
Draws25
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-11-42-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricCreweGillingham
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h62%38%
Goals80%20%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Crewe or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.88 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ SBO
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crewe = 1.59 (league 1.36), Gillingham = 1.49 (league 1.14)

Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 4.6% 6.9% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.3% 10.9% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 35.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1